SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 73.29%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 9.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.77%) and 3-0 (10.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Nantes |
73.29% ( 1.1) | 17.05% ( -0.55) | 9.66% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 44.59% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.77% ( 0.85) | 43.23% ( -0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.37% ( 0.84) | 65.63% ( -0.84) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.69% ( 0.51) | 10.31% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 66.26% ( 1.15) | 33.73% ( -1.15) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.71% ( -0.55) | 50.28% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 15.14% ( -0.38) | 84.85% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lille | Draw | Nantes |
| 2-0 @ 13.38% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 11.77% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.27)2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.27)4-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.13)5-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.95% Total : 73.28% | 1-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.61% Total : 17.05% | 0-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.09% Total : 9.66% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
| 2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
| 3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
| 4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
| 5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
| 6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
| 7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
| 8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
| 9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
| 10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
| 11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
| 14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
| 15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
| 17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
| R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
| R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
| R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
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