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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Jan 26, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stade Oceane
BL

Le Havre
0 - 1
Brest


Sangante (1'), Ayew (4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ajorque (25')
Camara (7'), Faivre (22'), Ajorque (58')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reims 1-1 Le Havre
Sunday, January 19 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Shakhtar 2-0 Brest
Wednesday, January 22 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: Le Havre 0-2 Brest

Booking a place in the Champions League knockout phase has enabled Brest to focus their attention on the domestic campaign, and they are beginning to find their form in Ligue 1. Their opponents are in a tailspin and struggling to find any quality in the attacking third, and we believe that will continue Sunday seeing as Stade Brestois have had their way with the Normandy club through the years. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 53.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 21.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.12%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-0 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Brest in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Brest.

Result
Le HavreDrawBrest
21.79% (0.302 0.3) 24.69% (0.079000000000001 0.08) 53.51% (-0.386 -0.39)
Both teams to score 49.16% (0.161 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.57% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)52.43% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.89% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)74.1% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.1% (0.309 0.31)38.89% (-0.314 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.38% (0.292 0.29)75.62% (-0.295 -0.3)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.45% (-0.148 -0.15)19.55% (0.145 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.54% (-0.242 -0.24)51.45% (0.238 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Le Havre 21.8%
    Brest 53.5%
    Draw 24.68%
Le HavreDrawBrest
1-0 @ 7.18% (0.057 0.06)
2-1 @ 5.53% (0.066 0.07)
2-0 @ 3.39% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 1.74% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.42% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.07% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 21.8%
1-1 @ 11.71% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.6% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 24.68%
0-1 @ 12.41% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 10.12% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 9.57% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.51% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-3 @ 5.2% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.25% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.12% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 53.5%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Reims 1-1 Le Havre
Sunday, January 19 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 1-2 Lens
Sunday, January 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 5-1 Le Havre
Sunday, January 5 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Stade Briochin 1-0 Le Havre
Saturday, December 21 at 2.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Le Havre 0-3 Strasbourg
Sunday, December 15 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 2-1 Le Havre
Saturday, December 7 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Shakhtar 2-0 Brest
Wednesday, January 22 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Rennes 1-2 Brest
Saturday, January 18 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-1 Nantes
Wednesday, January 15 at 5.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Brest 2-1 Lyon
Saturday, January 11 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 2-0 Brest
Sunday, January 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: La Roche 0-1 Brest
Saturday, December 21 at 2.30pm in Coupe de France


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