Neither side have had particularly impressive campaigns, but Barrow have been good at home throughout the season. We think that they will get revenge for their defeat to Carlisle earlier in the campaign and grab the three points against their Cumbrian rivals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 45.02%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Barrow	Draw	Carlisle United
45.02% ( 0.21)	27.23% ( -0.06)	27.75% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 47.47% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.54% (

0.16)

57.46% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.74% (

0.12)

78.26% (

-0.12)

Barrow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.57% (

0.18)

25.43% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.75% (

0.24)

60.25% (

-0.24)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.66% (

-0.03)

36.34% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.87% (

-0.03)

73.13% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Barrow 45.02%

Carlisle United 27.75%

Draw 27.23%

Barrow	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 12.65% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.23% Total : 45.02%	1-1 @ 12.8% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.23%	0-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 27.75%