Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.
-0.37) 
0.02) 
