SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | MK Dons |
43.81% ( 2.03) | 25.48% ( -0.24) | 30.7% ( -1.8) |
| Both teams to score 54.45% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.77% ( 0.36) | 49.23% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.71% ( 0.32) | 71.29% ( -0.32) |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.59% ( 1.13) | 22.41% ( -1.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.07% ( 1.67) | 55.93% ( -1.67) |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.18% ( -1.02) | 29.82% ( 1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.09% ( -1.25) | 65.91% ( 1.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barrow | Draw | MK Dons |
| 1-0 @ 10% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.38)3-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.25)3-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.31)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.16)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.24% Total : 43.81% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.36) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.28)0-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.36)1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.21)Other @ 3.28% Total : 30.7% |
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