With both teams on five-match winless streaks, this is a difficult match to call. Although Crewe will have concerns regarding suffering another defeat and subsequently losing further ground, we feel that they are the marginal favourites to come through with the three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.01) 
