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League Two | Gameweek 30
Feb 1, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham, Kent)
NC

Gillingham
1 - 2
Notts County

Gbode (80')
Ogie (25'), Ehmer (45+1'), McKenzie (52'), Nevitt (59'), Gbode (60')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Tsaroulla (17'), McGoldrick (20')
Jones (44'), McDonald (60'), Abbott (90+2'), Jarvis (90+1')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Gillingham and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Gillingham
Tuesday, January 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 1-0 Carlisle
Tuesday, January 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 36.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawNotts County
36.83% (0.189 0.19) 25.71% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 37.46% (-0.144 -0.14)
Both teams to score 55.25% (0.148 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.13% (0.186 0.19)48.88% (-0.182 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.03% (0.167 0.17)70.97% (-0.164 -0.16)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.16% (0.194 0.19)25.85% (-0.19 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.19% (0.26300000000001 0.26)60.81% (-0.258 -0.26)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.51% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)25.49% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.67% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)60.33% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 36.83%
    Notts County 37.46%
    Draw 25.7%
GillinghamDrawNotts County
1-0 @ 8.91% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.24% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.03% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.72% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.72% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 36.83%
1-1 @ 12.18% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.59% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.63% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 9.01% (-0.066999999999998 -0.07)
1-2 @ 8.33% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.15% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.79% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.8% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.57% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 37.46%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Gillingham
Tuesday, January 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 1-1 Gillingham
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 0-1 Doncaster
Saturday, January 18 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 0-3 Bromley
Thursday, January 2 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Gillingham
Monday, December 30 at 8pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 2-0 Gillingham
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 1-0 Carlisle
Tuesday, January 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 1-1 Bromley
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 0-3 Notts County
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 2-0 Swindon
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Walsall
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Cheltenham 3-5 Notts County
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in League Two


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