SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Notts County win with a probability of 52.4%. A win for Carlisle United has a probability of 24.13% and a draw has a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Carlisle United win is 0-1 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.06%).
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Carlisle United |
52.4% ( 2.11) | 23.47% ( -0.38) | 24.13% ( -1.73) |
| Both teams to score 55.79% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.96% ( 0.13) | 45.04% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.61% ( 0.13) | 67.39% ( -0.12) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.82% ( 0.84) | 17.18% ( -0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.56% ( 1.46) | 47.44% ( -1.46) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.36% ( -1.35) | 32.64% ( 1.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.81% ( -1.54) | 69.19% ( 1.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 1-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.42)3-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.22)3-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.38)3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.22)4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.88% Total : 52.4% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.48% | 0-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.33)0-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.29)1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.48% Total : 24.13% |
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