Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 44.98%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 27.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
