Carlisle United 0-3 Swindon Town - League Two - February 19, 2022 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Feb 19, 2022 at 3pm UK at Brunton Park

Carlisle

0 - 3

Swindon

Simeu (36')

FT(HT: 0-1)

McKirdy (17'), Davison (55'), Barry (57')
Davison (36'), Cooper (87')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Swindon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Swindon Town
30.59%	26.86%	42.54%

Both teams to score 50.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.13%

54.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.84%

76.16%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.22%

32.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.66%

69.34%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.48%

25.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.63%

60.37%

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 30.59%

Swindon Town 42.54%

Draw 26.86%

Carlisle United	Draw	Swindon Town
1-0 @ 9.33% 2-1 @ 7.11% 2-0 @ 5.2% 3-1 @ 2.64% 3-0 @ 1.93% 3-2 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.58% Total : 30.59%	1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 8.36% 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.86%	0-1 @ 11.42% 1-2 @ 8.7% 0-2 @ 7.8% 1-3 @ 3.96% 0-3 @ 3.55% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.35% 0-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.32% Total : 42.54%

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League Two Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Leyton Orient	35	21	9	5	46	22	24	72
2	Carlisle United Carlisle	35	18	10	7	58	35	23	64
3	Stevenage	34	18	9	7	49	31	18	63
4	Northampton Town Northampton	35	16	12	7	48	33	15	60
5	Stockport County Stockport	36	17	8	11	49	31	18	59
6	Bradford City Bradford	35	16	11	8	43	30	13	59
7	Salford City	36	16	8	12	54	41	13	56
8	Mansfield Town Mansfield	33	16	7	10	54	43	11	55
9	Sutton United Sutton	36	15	10	11	40	39	1	55
10	Barrow Barrow	36	15	7	14	38	41	-3	52
11	Doncaster Rovers Doncaster	35	15	5	15	38	46	-8	50
12	Swindon Town Swindon	34	13	10	11	45	38	7	49
13	Tranmere Rovers Tranmere	36	13	9	14	35	35	0	48
14	Walsall	34	10	14	10	36	32	4	44
15	AFC Wimbledon	35	10	12	13	37	41	-4	42
16	Grimsby Town	33	11	9	13	36	41	-5	42
17	Crewe Alexandra Crewe	34	9	15	10	33	43	-10	42
18	Newport County Newport	35	9	12	14	34	41	-7	39
19	Gillingham	35	9	11	15	23	37	-14	38
20	Colchester United Colchester	36	9	8	19	31	43	-12	35
21	Harrogate Town Harrogate	36	8	11	17	41	54	-13	35
22	Hartlepool United Hartlepool	36	6	12	18	38	64	-26	30
23	Crawley Town Crawley	34	7	8	19	37	58	-21	29
24	Rochdale	36	6	7	23	29	53	-24	25