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League Two | Gameweek 16
Feb 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The County Ground
CT
Swindon
1 - 1
Crawley
Gladwin (90+2')
Lyden (81'), McKirdy (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Powell (41' pen.)
Nichols (54'), Tsaroulla (65'), Powell (77')

We said: Swindon Town 2-1 Crawley Town

Having lost ground in the promotion race, Swindon will be desperate to make a return to winning ways on Tuesday, and we just back their strong squad to get over the line on home turf. While the visitors posted an impressive away result at the weekend, their schedule does not get any easier and Yems's side could just fall short this time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 45.34%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawCrawley Town
45.34%25.44%29.22%
Both teams to score 53.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.26%49.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.25%71.75%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.08%21.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.81%55.19%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.87%31.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.54%67.46%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 45.33%
    Crawley Town 29.22%
    Draw 25.43%
Swindon TownDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 10.35%
2-1 @ 9.17%
2-0 @ 7.86%
3-1 @ 4.64%
3-0 @ 3.98%
3-2 @ 2.71%
4-1 @ 1.76%
4-0 @ 1.51%
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 45.33%
1-1 @ 12.08%
0-0 @ 6.82%
2-2 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 7.96%
1-2 @ 7.05%
0-2 @ 4.65%
1-3 @ 2.74%
2-3 @ 2.08%
0-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 29.22%

Read more!
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League Two Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeyton Orient462613761342791
2Stevenage462413961392285
4Stockport CountyStockport4622131165372879
5Carlisle UnitedCarlisle4620161066432376
6Bradford CityBradford4620161061431876
7Salford City462291572541875
8Mansfield TownMansfield4621121372551775
9BarrowBarrow46188204753-662
10Swindon TownSwindon461613176155661
11Grimsby Town461613174956-761
12Tranmere RoversTranmere461513184548-358
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461416164860-1258
14Sutton UnitedSutton461513184658-1258
15Newport CountyNewport461415175356-357
16Walsall461219154649-355
17Gillingham461413193649-1355
18Doncaster RoversDoncaster46167234665-1955
19Harrogate TownHarrogate461216185968-952
20Colchester UnitedColchester461213214451-749
21AFC Wimbledon461115204860-1248
22Crawley TownCrawley461113224871-2346
RHartlepool UnitedHartlepool46916215278-2643
RRochdale46911264670-2438
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