Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
