Mansfield Town 3-2 Swindon Town - League Two - January 11, 2022 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Jan 11, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Mansfield

3 - 2

Swindon

Maris (4'), McLaughlin (31' pen.), Bowery (43')
Hawkins (15'), O'Toole (63')

FT(HT: 3-1)

McKirdy (28'), Iandolo (89')
Odimayo (30'), Conroy (63'), Hunt (73')

The Match

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Mansfield Town 2-2 Swindon Town

This has all the makings of an excellent game of football, and we are predicting goals on Tuesday night. Swindon have so much quality in the forward areas, but Mansfield have impressed on home soil this season, and we are backing the two teams to share the spoils in an entertaining affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Mansfield Town	Draw	Swindon Town
40.4%	25.89%	33.7%

Both teams to score 54.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.95%

50.04%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.98%

72.02%

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.55%

24.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.11%

58.89%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.74%

28.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.02%

63.97%

Score Analysis

Mansfield Town 40.4%

Swindon Town 33.7%

Draw 25.88%

Mansfield Town	Draw	Swindon Town
1-0 @ 9.73% 2-1 @ 8.66% 2-0 @ 6.85% 3-1 @ 4.07% 3-0 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.13% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.83% Total : 40.4%	1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 6.91% 2-2 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.88%	0-1 @ 8.73% 1-2 @ 7.77% 0-2 @ 5.52% 1-3 @ 3.27% 0-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.7%

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League Two Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Leyton Orient	39	23	11	5	52	25	27	80
2	Northampton Town Northampton	40	19	13	8	53	37	16	70
3	Carlisle United Carlisle	40	19	12	9	60	37	23	69
4	Stevenage	39	19	12	8	53	36	17	69
5	Stockport County Stockport	40	19	10	11	53	33	20	67
6	Bradford City Bradford	39	17	14	8	48	34	14	65
7	Mansfield Town Mansfield	39	18	10	11	63	48	15	64
8	Salford City	40	18	9	13	61	46	15	63
9	Barrow Barrow	40	17	7	16	42	47	-5	58
10	Sutton United Sutton	40	15	12	13	41	42	-1	57
11	Swindon Town Swindon	39	13	12	14	52	49	3	51
12	Doncaster Rovers Doncaster	40	15	6	19	40	55	-15	51
13	Walsall	40	11	17	12	42	40	2	50
14	Tranmere Rovers Tranmere	40	13	11	16	38	42	-4	50
15	Grimsby Town	39	12	12	15	42	50	-8	48
16	Crewe Alexandra Crewe	39	11	15	13	39	47	-8	48
17	Newport County Newport	39	11	14	14	41	43	-2	47
18	AFC Wimbledon	41	11	14	16	43	48	-5	47
19	Gillingham	40	12	11	17	28	42	-14	47
20	Harrogate Town Harrogate	39	9	13	17	45	57	-12	40
21	Colchester United Colchester	40	9	12	19	35	47	-12	39
22	Crawley Town Crawley	40	9	11	20	43	64	-21	38
23	Hartlepool United Hartlepool	40	8	14	18	47	69	-22	38
24	Rochdale	40	8	8	24	38	61	-23	32