Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 1-0 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
