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Dec 7, 2021 at 7.45pm UK at Brisbane Road
Leyton Orient
4 - 1
Swindon
Drinan (19', 60'), Smith (64', 82')
Clay (12'), Kemp (45+2'), Beckles (56'), Ogie (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McKirdy (42')
McKirdy (64'), Reed (83'), (83')

We said: Leyton Orient 2-2 Swindon Town

There is very little to separate these two teams at the moment in terms of form and how they have played throughout the entire season, which is reflected by their league positions. The match is an important one for each club as they continue their respective bids for promotion, but this is one that could easily result in a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (11.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result
Leyton OrientDrawSwindon Town
39.11%28.5%32.39%
Both teams to score 45.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.64%60.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.49%80.51%
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.99%30.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.86%66.14%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.63%34.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.93%71.07%
Score Analysis
    Leyton Orient 39.11%
    Swindon Town 32.38%
    Draw 28.48%
Leyton OrientDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 12.41%
2-1 @ 7.98%
2-0 @ 7.47%
3-1 @ 3.2%
3-0 @ 3%
3-2 @ 1.71%
4-1 @ 0.96%
4-0 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 39.11%
1-1 @ 13.25%
0-0 @ 10.31%
2-2 @ 4.26%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.48%
0-1 @ 11.01%
1-2 @ 7.08%
0-2 @ 5.88%
1-3 @ 2.52%
0-3 @ 2.1%
2-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 32.38%

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League Two Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leyton Orient35219546222472
2Carlisle UnitedCarlisle341710756342261
3Stevenage33179746301660
4Northampton TownNorthampton341611747321559
5Bradford CityBradford33169842291357
6Salford City351681151371456
7Stockport CountyStockport341671148311755
8Mansfield TownMansfield331671054431155
9Sutton UnitedSutton34149113739-251
10BarrowBarrow35156143841-351
11Swindon TownSwindon331310104436849
12Tranmere RoversTranmere35139133533248
13Doncaster RoversDoncaster33145143643-747
14Walsall32101393529643
15AFC Wimbledon341012123639-342
16Crewe AlexandraCrewe33815102940-1139
17Grimsby Town31108133440-638
18Newport CountyNewport33910143239-737
19Colchester UnitedColchester3598183142-1135
20Gillingham33810152137-1634
21Harrogate TownHarrogate34711163851-1332
22Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool35611183763-2629
23Crawley TownCrawley3268183454-2026
24Rochdale3567222952-2325
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