Tranmere are unbeaten in their last two trips to Brisbane Road, but given Leyton Orient's impressive home record this season, we think the O's will collect a narrow victory on Saturday to progress to the third round.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 36.33%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.57%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 1-0 (11.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
