Even though Carlisle United have failed to win any of their previous three matches, they have been in stronger form overall than their opponents.
The confidence that Simpson has injected into his squad could prove to be vital on Friday, and it should allow them to get back to winning ways.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Walsall in this match.
