SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 25.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
49.39% ( -0.41) | 25.05% ( 0) | 25.55% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 52.2% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.53% ( 0.29) | 50.47% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.6% ( 0.25) | 72.4% ( -0.26) |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.55% ( -0.05) | 20.45% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.09% ( -0.09) | 52.91% ( 0.09) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.62% ( 0.49) | 34.37% ( -0.49) |
