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League Two | Gameweek 13
Oct 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kingsmeadow
BC
AFC Wimbledon
0 - 1
Bradford

Davison (17'), Lewis (58'), Ogundere (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Osadebe (62')
Platt (7'), Smallwood (30')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mansfield 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two

We said: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Bradford City

AFC Wimbledon have not been particularly impressive at home this season, with their only victory coming against a struggling Tranmere side. While Bradford have not been at their best away from home, they are starting to gather momentum, winning their last two games on the spin in all competitions, so we expect Saturday's game to finish as a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 36.52%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bradford City in this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawBradford City
36.21% (0.184 0.18) 27.26% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 36.52% (-0.208 -0.21)
Both teams to score 50.08% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.59% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)55.41% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.39% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)76.61% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.67% (0.066000000000003 0.07)29.32% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.7% (0.082000000000001 0.08)65.3% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.86% (-0.173 -0.17)29.13% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.93% (-0.213 -0.21)65.06% (0.21499999999999 0.21)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 36.21%
    Bradford City 36.52%
    Draw 27.26%
AFC WimbledonDrawBradford City
1-0 @ 10.48% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.93% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.43% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.24% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.63% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 0.99% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 36.21%
1-1 @ 12.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.54% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.26%
0-1 @ 10.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.97% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.5% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.28% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 36.52%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mansfield 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 0-1 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 4-1 Tranmere
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 1-3 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-2 Crewe
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-2 Stockport
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-2 Bradford
Tuesday, October 10 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bradford 1-0 Swindon
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 2-1 Bradford
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-3 Walsall
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 0-2 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Newport 1-4 Bradford
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Stockport CountyStockport26156553262751
2Mansfield TownMansfield251310244202449
3Wrexham25147452361649
4BarrowBarrow26139438241448
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe2612864839944
6Notts County26133105547842
7AFC Wimbledon25109641281339
8MK Dons2411673931839
9Crawley TownCrawley26123114344-139
10Accrington StanleyAccrington26115104036438
11Gillingham25122112130-938
12Harrogate TownHarrogate26114113235-337
13Walsall2510693936336
14Bradford CityBradford2697103335-234
15Swindon TownSwindon2797114952-334
16Tranmere RoversTranmere27103144240233
17Morecambe249693741-433
18Newport CountyNewport2687113845-731
19Doncaster RoversDoncaster2684143146-1528
20Grimsby Town2669113544-927
21Salford City2666143448-1424
22Colchester UnitedColchester2773173754-1724
23Forest Green RoversForest Green2546152646-2018
24Sutton UnitedSutton2546152852-2418
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