SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Celta Vigo |
35.42% ( 0.04) | 26.86% ( 0.01) | 37.71% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 51.32% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.16% ( -0.04) | 53.84% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.69% ( -0.03) | 75.3% ( 0.03) |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.96% ( 0.01) | 29.04% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.05% ( 0.01) | 64.95% ( -0.01) |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.32% ( -0.05) | 27.67% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.77% ( -0.06) | 63.22% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Osasuna | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.25% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.53% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 35.42% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 10.32% 1-2 @ 8.2% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.99% Total : 37.71% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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