SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 51.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 23.35%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
23.35% ( -0.55) | 25.48% ( -0.09) | 51.18% ( 0.64) |
| Both teams to score 48.72% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.05% ( -0.11) | 53.95% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.6% ( -0.09) | 75.4% ( 0.09) |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.75% ( -0.57) | 38.24% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25% ( -0.55) | 75% ( 0.55) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.9% ( 0.23) | 21.1% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.07% ( 0.35) | 53.93% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Osasuna | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.57% Total : 23.35% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 9.77% ( 0.18)1-2 @ 9.39% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 5.07% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 4.87% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.97% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 51.17% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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