SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 49.8%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 23.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Osasuna |
49.8% ( -1.83) | 26.34% ( 0.48) | 23.86% ( 1.35) |
| Both teams to score 46.83% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.3% ( -0.6) | 56.7% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.34% ( -0.48) | 77.66% ( 0.48) |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.15% ( -1.05) | 22.85% ( 1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.42% ( -1.58) | 56.57% ( 1.58) |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.69% ( 0.96) | 39.3% ( -0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.99% ( 0.88) | 76.01% ( -0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Osasuna |
| 1-0 @ 13.25% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.39)2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.36)3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.76% Total : 49.79% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.34% | 0-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.28)1-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.12)Other @ 1.44% Total : 23.86% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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