Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 49.14%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 22.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.42%) and 1-2 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
