SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Real Valladolid |
45.88% ( 1.35) | 25.97% ( -0.3) | 28.15% ( -1.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.44% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.54% ( 0.67) | 52.45% ( -0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.87% ( 0.57) | 74.13% ( -0.57) |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.18% ( 0.93) | 22.82% ( -0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.46% ( 1.35) | 56.54% ( -1.35) |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.65% ( -0.44) | 33.34% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.03% ( -0.49) | 69.96% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 1-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.22)3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.08% Total : 45.87% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.43% Total : 28.15% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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