SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 67.7%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Elche had a probability of 13.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.63%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Elche win it was 1-0 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Barcelona |
13.34% ( 0.1) | 18.96% ( 0.23) | 67.7% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 50.55% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.03% ( -0.82) | 41.96% ( 0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.63% ( -0.83) | 64.37% ( 0.82) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.06% ( -0.37) | 42.94% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.75% ( -0.32) | 79.24% ( 0.31) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.59% ( -0.32) | 11.41% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.82% ( -0.7) | 36.18% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elche | Draw | Barcelona |
| 1-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.41% Total : 13.34% | 1-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.94% Total : 18.96% | 0-2 @ 11.54% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.25)1-2 @ 9.76% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 8.35% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 7.06% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 4.53% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 3.83% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.07)0-5 @ 1.97% ( -0.06)1-5 @ 1.66% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.75% Total : 67.69% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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