SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 62.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 18.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.47%) and 1-0 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-2 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-7 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Aldershot Town |
62.46% ( -0.02) | 19.36% | 18.18% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.11% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.17% ( 0.03) | 33.83% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.33% ( 0.04) | 55.67% ( -0.04) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.57% ( 0) | 10.42% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66% ( 0.01) | 33.99% ( -0.01) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.22% ( 0.04) | 31.77% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.8% ( 0.05) | 68.2% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.32% 3-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.19% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.14% 4-0 @ 3.61% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.37% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.87% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.63% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.07% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 3.32% Total : 62.46% | 1-1 @ 8.59% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 19.36% | 1-2 @ 4.92% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.8% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.18% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0)Other @ 3.28% Total : 18.18% |
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