SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 47.85%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aldershot Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Maidenhead United |
47.85% ( 0.62) | 24.6% ( -0.13) | 27.55% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 55.36% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.87% ( 0.25) | 47.12% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.64% ( 0.23) | 69.36% ( -0.23) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.24% ( 0.36) | 19.76% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.2% ( 0.58) | 51.8% ( -0.58) |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.99% ( -0.24) | 31.01% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.68% ( -0.28) | 67.32% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Maidenhead United |
| 1-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.95% Total : 47.85% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.59% | 0-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.92% Total : 27.55% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 21 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 28 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | Bromley | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 45 |
| 3 | Barnet | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 42 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 37 |
| 5 | Gateshead | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 47 | 27 | 20 | 36 |
| 6 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 36 |
| 7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 35 |
| 8 | Rochdale | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 33 |
| 9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 32 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 30 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 30 |
| 12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 27 |
| 13 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 27 |
| 14 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 26 |
| 15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 22 | 15 | 25 |
| 16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 25 |
| 17 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 24 |
| 19 | York City | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 23 |
| 20 | Woking | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 22 |
| 21 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 22 |
| 22 | Oxford CityOxford City | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 21 |
| 23 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 19 |
| 24 | Fylde | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 18 |
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