SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 63.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 15.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Maidenhead United |
63.37% ( -0.56) | 21.56% ( 0.17) | 15.06% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 46.64% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.45% ( 0.02) | 49.55% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.42% ( 0.02) | 71.58% ( -0.01) |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.99% ( -0.17) | 15.01% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.52% ( -0.33) | 43.48% ( 0.33) |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.88% ( 0.56) | 45.12% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.97% ( 0.44) | 81.03% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Maidenhead United |
| 1-0 @ 12.84% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 12.17% ( -0.16)2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.19% Total : 63.36% | 1-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.71% Total : 21.56% | 0-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.36% Total : 15.07% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
| 2 | Barnet | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 42 |
| 3 | Bromley | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 35 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 34 |
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
| 7 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 27 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 26 |
| 9 | Rochdale | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 24 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 23 |
| 12 | Woking | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
| 13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 22 |
| 14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 22 |
| 15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 21 |
| 16 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 21 |
| 17 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
| 18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
| 19 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 17 |
| 20 | Fylde | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 16 |
| 21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 |
| 22 | York City | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 16 |
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 14 |
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 14 |
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