SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 47.35%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Hartlepool United |
29.28% ( -0.01) | 23.37% ( -0) | 47.35% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 60.86% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.55% ( 0) | 40.44% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.18% ( 0) | 62.82% ( -0.01) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.63% ( -0.01) | 26.37% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.48% ( -0.01) | 61.51% ( 0) |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.65% ( 0) | 17.34% ( -0.01) |
