SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Reading had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Reading win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Swindon Town |
34.73% ( 1.96) | 24.73% ( 0.25) | 40.54% ( -2.21) |
| Both teams to score 58.43% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.33% ( -0.65) | 44.67% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.97% ( -0.63) | 67.04% ( 0.63) |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.93% ( 0.85) | 25.08% ( -0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.24% ( 1.16) | 59.76% ( -1.15) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.99% ( -1.31) | 22.01% ( 1.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.67% ( -2.02) | 55.33% ( 2.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.29) 1-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.39)2-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.39)3-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.22)3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.23)4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.67% Total : 34.73% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.73% | 1-2 @ 8.75% ( -0.24) 0-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.33)1-3 @ 4.41% ( -0.31)0-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.3)2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.19)0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.17)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.43% Total : 40.54% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Liverpool | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 45 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 42 |
| 3 | Manchester CityMan City | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 40 |
| 4 | Arsenal | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 20 | 17 | 40 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 39 |
| 6 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 38 | 33 | 5 | 31 |
| 8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 31 |
| 9 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 20 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 29 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 28 |
| 11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 28 |
| 12 | Bournemouth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 25 |
| 13 | Fulham | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 24 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 21 |
| 15 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 20 |
| 16 | Brentford | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 19 |
| 17 | Everton | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 16 |
| 18 | Luton TownLuton | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 15 |
| 19 | Burnley | 20 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 11 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 49 | -34 | 9 |
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