SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 53.21%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 24.75% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
53.21% ( 0.07) | 22.04% ( -0.02) | 24.75% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 61.49% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.18% ( 0.02) | 37.82% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.93% ( 0.02) | 60.07% ( -0.03) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.67% ( 0.03) | 14.32% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.84% ( 0.06) | 42.16% ( -0.06) |
| Eintracht Frankfurt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.77% ( -0.03) | 28.23% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.06% ( -0.03) | 63.93% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.96% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.92% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 3.43% Total : 53.21% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.04% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.04% | 1-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0)Other @ 3.53% Total : 24.75% |
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