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CONCACAF Nations League | Semi-Finals
Mar 21, 2025 at 12am UK
SoFi Stadium
PN

USA
vs.
Panama

 

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: USA 3-0 Costa Rica
Thursday, January 23 at 12am in International Friendlies
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Uruguay389
2Panama316
3USA303
4Bolivia3-90
All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Chile 6-1 Panama
Saturday, February 8 at 11.30pm in International Friendlies
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Uruguay389
2Panama316
3USA303
4Bolivia3-90

We say: USA 3-2 Panama

The Panamanians have rarely made it easy on the Americans lately, but we believe their injuries will make them much more vulnerable on the back end, and the Yanks have plenty of firepower that could make them pay. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a USA win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw has a probability of 22.5% and a win for Panama has a probability of 17.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Panama win it is 0-1 (5.82%).

Result
USADrawPanama
60.03% (0.638 0.64) 22.46% (-0.338 -0.34) 17.51% (-0.299 -0.3)
Both teams to score 49.05% (0.468 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.94% (0.919 0.92)49.06% (-0.917 -0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.86% (0.825 0.82)71.14% (-0.822 -0.82)
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.06% (0.53700000000001 0.54)15.94% (-0.535 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.79% (0.974 0.97)45.21% (-0.97 -0.97)
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.36% (0.185 0.19)41.64% (-0.183 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.88% (0.162 0.16)78.13% (-0.15899999999999 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    USA 60.03%
    Panama 17.51%
    Draw 22.45%
USADrawPanama
1-0 @ 12.19% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-0 @ 11.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.039 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.85% (0.115 0.12)
3-1 @ 6% (0.131 0.13)
4-0 @ 3.15% (0.108 0.11)
4-1 @ 2.76% (0.108 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.07 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.053 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.16% (0.06 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 60.03%
1-1 @ 10.67% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 6.64% (-0.252 -0.25)
2-2 @ 4.29% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 22.45%
0-1 @ 5.82% (-0.191 -0.19)
1-2 @ 4.68% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.55% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 17.51%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: USA 3-0 Costa Rica
Thursday, January 23 at 12am in International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 3-1 Venezuela
Saturday, January 18 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 4-2 Jamaica
Tuesday, November 19 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Jamaica 0-1 USA
Friday, November 15 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Mexico 2-0 USA
Wednesday, October 16 at 3.30am in International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 2-0 Panama
Sunday, October 13 at 2am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Chile 6-1 Panama
Saturday, February 8 at 11.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Panama 2-2 Costa Rica
Tuesday, November 19 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Costa Rica 0-1 Panama
Friday, November 15 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Canada 2-1 Panama
Wednesday, October 16 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 2-0 Panama
Sunday, October 13 at 2am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Colombia 5-0 Panama
Saturday, July 6 at 11pm in Copa America


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