The Jamaicans have shown they can play the Americans tough, but we do not believe they have enough depth to compete with the US for 90 minutes and turn this tie in their favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 58.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 17.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that USA would win this match.

Result
USA	Draw	Jamaica
58.94% ( -0.03)	23.58% ( -0.02)	17.48% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 45.74% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.52% (

0.16)

53.48% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25% (

0.13)

75% (

-0.13)

USA Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.11% (

0.05)

17.89% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.32% (

0.08)

48.68% (

-0.07)

Jamaica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.71% (

0.16)

44.29% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.64% (

0.13)

80.36% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

USA 58.93%

Jamaica 17.48%

Draw 23.58%

USA	Draw	Jamaica
1-0 @ 13.63% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 11.73% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.9% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 58.93%	1-1 @ 11.1% 0-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.66% Total : 23.58%	0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.6% Total : 17.48%