SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Uruguay | 3 | 8 | 9 |
| 2 | Panama | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | USA | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Bolivia | 3 | -9 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 49.59%. A win for Panama had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Panama win was 0-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that USA would win this match.
| Result | ||
| USA | Draw | Panama |
49.59% ( -0.13) | 24.76% ( 0.31) | 25.64% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 53.19% ( -1.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.79% ( -1.43) | 49.21% ( 1.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.72% ( -1.3) | 71.27% ( 1.29) |
| USA Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.13% ( -0.61) | 19.87% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.02% ( -1) | 51.97% ( 0.99) |
| Panama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.38% ( -0.91) | 33.62% ( 0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.73% ( -1.01) | 70.27% ( 1) |
| Score Analysis |
| USA | Draw | Panama |
| 1-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.86% Total : 49.59% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.38)2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.76% | 0-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.33% Total : 25.64% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
