SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Uruguay | 2 | 7 | 6 |
| 2 | USA | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Panama | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Bolivia | 2 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Uruguay had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Uruguay win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.
| Result | ||
| USA | Draw | Uruguay |
40.65% ( -0.09) | 26.59% ( 0.02) | 32.76% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.71% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.87% ( -0.05) | 53.13% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.29% ( -0.04) | 74.71% ( 0.04) |
| USA Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.28% ( -0.07) | 25.72% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.36% ( -0.09) | 60.64% ( 0.1) |
| Uruguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.61% ( 0.03) | 30.39% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.41% ( 0.03) | 66.59% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| USA | Draw | Uruguay |
| 1-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 40.65% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.03% Other @ 3.17% Total : 32.76% |
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