Canada have shown they can compete with the best sides in the world, but still lack that ruthlessness against those top teams, which can make a good team great. After such a disappointing display at the Copa America, we believe the US will be fired up for this one as they eagerly await the anticipated arrival of Pochettino, whose name alone has created plenty of enthusiasm around the team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a USA win with a probability of 58.71%. A draw has a probability of 23.1% and a win for Canada has a probability of 18.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Canada win it is 0-1 (6.18%).

Result
USA	Draw	Canada
58.71% ( -0.16)	23.1% ( 0.04)	18.18% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 48.36% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.36% (

0.04)

50.64% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.45% (

0.03)

72.55% (

-0.03)

USA Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.05% (

-0.04)

16.94% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.97% (

-0.07)

47.02% (

0.08)

Canada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.22% (

0.16)

41.77% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.76% (

0.14)

78.24% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

USA 58.71%

Canada 18.18%

Draw 23.09%

USA	Draw	Canada
1-0 @ 12.56% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.83% Total : 58.71%	1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.81% Total : 23.09%	0-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 18.18%