SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 62.02%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Canada had a probability of 16.98%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Canada win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Argentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Argentina.
| Result | ||
| Argentina | Draw | Canada |
62.02% ( -0.73) | 20.99% ( 0.25) | 16.98% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 52.69% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.33% ( -0.29) | 43.67% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.94% ( -0.29) | 66.06% ( 0.29) |
| Argentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.47% ( -0.31) | 13.53% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.41% ( -0.62) | 40.58% ( 0.62) |
| Canada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.93% ( 0.4) | 39.07% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.21% ( 0.37) | 75.78% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentina | Draw | Canada |
| 1-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.01% Total : 62.02% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.99% | 0-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.09% Total : 16.98% |
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