SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Uruguay | 3 | 8 | 9 |
| 2 | Panama | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | USA | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Bolivia | 3 | -9 | 0 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Colombia | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Brazil | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 3 | Costa Rica | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Paraguay | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 53.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 21.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Panama | Draw | Costa Rica |
53.81% ( -0.31) | 25.11% ( 0.03) | 21.07% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 47.03% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.23% ( 0.19) | 54.77% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.92% ( 0.15) | 76.08% ( -0.15) |
| Panama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.66% ( -0.05) | 20.34% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.26% ( -0.08) | 52.74% ( 0.08) |
| Costa Rica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.04% ( 0.4) | 40.96% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.48% ( 0.36) | 77.52% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Panama | Draw | Costa Rica |
| 1-0 @ 13.26% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.01% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0)Other @ 3.48% Total : 53.8% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.73% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.22% Total : 21.07% |
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