SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Colombia | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Brazil | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 3 | Costa Rica | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Paraguay | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Panama had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Panama win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Costa Rica | Draw | Panama |
45.49% ( -0.01) | 24.41% ( 0) | 30.1% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.72% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.2% ( -0.01) | 44.8% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.84% ( -0.01) | 67.16% ( 0.01) |
| Costa Rica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.18% ( -0.01) | 19.82% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.1% ( -0.01) | 51.9% ( 0.02) |
| Panama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.99% ( -0) | 28.01% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.35% ( -0) | 63.65% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Costa Rica | Draw | Panama |
| 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.27% 3-1 @ 4.99% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 3% Total : 45.49% | 1-1 @ 11.43% 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.55% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.41% | 1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.07% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.5% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.09% 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.91% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.79% Total : 30.1% |
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