SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Colombia | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Brazil | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Costa Rica | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Paraguay | 2 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Costa Rica had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Costa Rica win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Costa Rica | Draw | Paraguay |
33.56% ( 1.12) | 26.18% ( 0.28) | 40.26% ( -1.4) |
| Both teams to score 53.22% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.71% ( -0.89) | 51.28% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.88% ( -0.78) | 73.11% ( 0.78) |
| Costa Rica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.03% ( 0.28) | 28.96% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.15% ( 0.35) | 64.85% ( -0.35) |
| Paraguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.91% ( -1.12) | 25.08% ( 1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.22% ( -1.57) | 59.77% ( 1.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Costa Rica | Draw | Paraguay |
| 1-0 @ 9% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.58% Total : 33.56% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.17% | 0-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.61% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.55% Total : 40.25% |
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