SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Brazil | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Colombia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Costa Rica | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Paraguay | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 53.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 22.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Costa Rica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Costa Rica.
| Result | ||
| Costa Rica | Draw | Saint Kitts and Nevis |
53.23% ( 0.25) | 23.91% ( -0.01) | 22.85% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 52.87% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.81% ( -0.2) | 48.18% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.66% ( -0.18) | 70.34% ( 0.18) |
| Costa Rica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.96% ( 0.02) | 18.04% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.06% ( 0.03) | 48.93% ( -0.03) |
| Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.5% ( -0.33) | 35.49% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.74% ( -0.34) | 72.26% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Costa Rica | Draw | Saint Kitts and Nevis |
| 1-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.46% Total : 53.23% | 1-1 @ 11.35% 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.9% | 0-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.95% Total : 22.86% |
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