SM
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Costa Rica | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Martinique | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | El Salvador | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 67.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 12.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.12%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Panama | Draw | Costa Rica |
67.96% ( 0.04) | 19.46% ( -0) | 12.59% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 46.68% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.05% ( -0.06) | 45.95% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.74% ( -0.06) | 68.26% ( 0.06) |
| Panama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.5% ( -0) | 12.5% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.51% ( -0.01) | 38.49% ( 0.02) |
| Costa Rica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.35% ( -0.1) | 46.65% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.78% ( -0.07) | 82.22% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Panama | Draw | Costa Rica |
| 2-0 @ 12.6% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 12.12% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.46% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.89% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.44% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.01% Total : 67.95% | 1-1 @ 9.25% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.71% Total : 19.46% | 0-1 @ 4.45% 1-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.7% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.99% Total : 12.59% |
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