Panama have emerged victorious in three of the last four international meetings between the two sides, and we think with Costa Rica desperate for three points, that the visitors could look to capitalise on the counter attack to edge out their hosts.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 42.93%. A win for Panama had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Panama win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Costa Rica would win this match.
