SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 42.98%. A draw had a probability of 32.1% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 24.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (6.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.32%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Paraguay | Draw | Colombia |
| 42.98% | 32.09% ( 0.05) | 24.92% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 34.39% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 27.26% ( -0.13) | 72.73% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 11.07% ( -0.08) | 88.93% ( 0.08) |
| Paraguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.79% ( -0.07) | 34.21% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.1% ( -0.08) | 70.9% ( 0.08) |
| Colombia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.26% ( -0.13) | 47.73% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.96% ( -0.1) | 83.03% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paraguay | Draw | Colombia |
| 1-0 @ 17.51% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.36% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 1.46% Total : 42.98% | 0-0 @ 16.32% ( 0.07) 1-1 @ 12.95% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 32.08% | 0-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.31% Total : 24.92% |
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