SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Brazil | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Colombia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Costa Rica | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Paraguay | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 61.77%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 17.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 1-2 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brazil | Draw | Costa Rica |
61.77% ( 0.47) | 20.35% ( -0.19) | 17.87% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 56.75% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.81% ( 0.43) | 39.19% ( -0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.48% ( 0.45) | 61.52% ( -0.45) |
| Brazil Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.79% ( 0.27) | 12.2% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.12% ( 0.55) | 37.87% ( -0.55) |
| Costa Rica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.64% ( -0.05) | 35.35% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.88% ( -0.05) | 72.11% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brazil | Draw | Costa Rica |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.86% Total : 61.77% | 1-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.35% | 1-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.66% Total : 17.87% |
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