SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 52.7%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 24.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Barcelona |
52.7% ( -0.1) | 22.45% ( 0.02) | 24.84% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 60.11% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.31% ( -0.04) | 39.69% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.95% ( -0.04) | 62.04% ( 0.04) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.85% ( -0.05) | 15.15% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.26% ( -0.09) | 43.73% ( 0.09) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.84% ( 0.03) | 29.16% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.9% ( 0.04) | 65.1% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Barcelona |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.34% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.76% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.92% Total : 52.7% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.45% | 1-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.29% Total : 24.84% |
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