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Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 11, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
B

Barcelona
vs.
Benfica

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 0-1 Barcelona
Wednesday, March 5 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Nacional
Saturday, March 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We say: Barcelona 3-1 Benfica (Barcelona to win 4-1 on aggregate)

Barcelona's high defensive line could offer opportunities for Benfica's attack to exploit, but while we think that the visitors will get on the scoresheet, we believe the Blaugrana will showcase their firepower to seal a relatively comfortable victory and a place in the Champions League quarter-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Barcelona win with a probability of 48.29%. A win for Benfica has a probability of 29.06% and a draw has a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.22%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Benfica win is 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.06%).

Result
BarcelonaDrawBenfica
48.29% (0.034999999999997 0.03) 22.64% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 29.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 63.36% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.91% (0.067999999999998 0.07)37.09% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.72% (0.074000000000005 0.07)59.28% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.27% (0.037000000000006 0.04)15.72% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.18% (0.07 0.07)44.81% (-0.07 -0.07)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.18% (0.022999999999996 0.02)24.81% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.6% (0.032999999999994 0.03)59.4% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Barcelona 48.29%
    Benfica 29.07%
    Draw 22.64%
BarcelonaDrawBenfica
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 7.22% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.68% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.12% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 4% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.65% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.9% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.85% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 0.98% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 48.29%
1-1 @ 10.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.49% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 3.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.86% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.64%
1-2 @ 7.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 5.44% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.79% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.26%
2-3 @ 3.01% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.76% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 29.07%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Benfica 0-1 Barcelona
Wednesday, March 5 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Barcelona 4-0 Real Sociedad
Sunday, March 2 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 4-4 Atletico
Tuesday, February 25 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Las Palmas 0-2 Barcelona
Saturday, February 22 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
Monday, February 17 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 1-4 Barcelona
Sunday, February 9 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Nacional
Saturday, March 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 0-1 Barcelona
Wednesday, March 5 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Benfica 1-0 Braga
Wednesday, February 26 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Boavista
Saturday, February 22 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 3-3 Monaco
Tuesday, February 18 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Santa Clara 0-1 Benfica
Saturday, February 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga


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