SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 51.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | Freiburg |
51.37% ( -0.04) | 24.73% ( 0.02) | 23.9% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.54% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.46% ( -0.06) | 50.53% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.54% ( -0.05) | 72.45% ( 0.05) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.33% ( -0.04) | 19.66% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.35% ( -0.06) | 51.64% ( 0.06) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.15% ( -0.02) | 35.85% ( 0.02) |
