MX23RW : Saturday, April 29 19:33:48
SM
Saturday, April 29
KL
Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 5, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
FL
FC Koln
1 - 0
Freiburg
Modeste (23')
Thielmann (65'), Ljubicic (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Woo-yeong (81'), Hofler (83')

We said: FC Koln 1-1 Freiburg

These two sides head into their clash with very similar styles and similar success so far this campaign, with both being so well organised and difficult to beat. As a result, we are predicting for these sides to finish as they did in September, with a 1-1 draw to share the points in an evenly-matched encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 47.09%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawFreiburg
47.09%23.77%29.14%
Both teams to score 59.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.6%42.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.19%64.8%
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.79%18.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.78%49.21%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.55%27.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.06%62.93%
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 47.09%
    Freiburg 29.14%
    Draw 23.76%
FC KolnDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 9.37%
1-0 @ 8.51%
2-0 @ 7.25%
3-1 @ 5.32%
3-0 @ 4.12%
3-2 @ 3.44%
4-1 @ 2.27%
4-0 @ 1.75%
4-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 47.09%
1-1 @ 11%
2-2 @ 6.06%
0-0 @ 5%
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.76%
1-2 @ 7.11%
0-1 @ 6.46%
0-2 @ 4.18%
1-3 @ 3.07%
2-3 @ 2.61%
0-3 @ 1.8%
1-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 29.14%

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Bundesliga Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Borussia DortmundDortmund30194767402761
2Bayern MunichBayern29178479334659
3Union BerlinUnion Berlin30168644311356
4Freiburg3016864637956
5RB Leipzig30166854371754
6Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen301461053411248
7Mainz 05Mainz2912984940945
8Wolfsburg291110851371443
9Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt30111095046443
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach3099124448-436
11FC Koln30811114048-835
12Werder Bremen30105154858-1035
13Augsburg3087153955-1631
14Hoffenheim3085173951-1229
15Stuttgart30610143852-1428
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum3084183367-3428
17Schalke 04Schalke3069152857-2927
18Hertha Berlin2957173559-2422
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