MX23RW : Tuesday, May 30 20:31:34
SM
Tuesday, May 30
FL
Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
Apr 8, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
BL
Freiburg
0 - 1
Bayern

Kubler (90+1'), Holer (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
de Ligt (51')
Mane (74'), Kimmich (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 1-2 Freiburg
Tuesday, April 4 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Freiburg 1-2 Bayern Munich

Bayern will be desperate to avenge their cup defeat to Freiburg by claiming all three points at Europa-Park Stadion on Saturday, especially with Dortmund able to leapfrog them at the top of the table should Streich's side prove victorious once again. The hosts will look to hit Bayern in transition and from set-pieces once again, but we expect Bayern to stand tall this time around and claim a crucial win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 65.58%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 16.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.45%) and 1-3 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.92%), while for a Freiburg win it was 2-1 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawBayern Munich
16.27% (0.0010000000000012 0) 18.14% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 65.58% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Both teams to score 61.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.54% (0.0010000000000048 0)31.45% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.07% (0.0020000000000024 0)52.92%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.64% (0.0019999999999953 0)32.36% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.13% (0.0019999999999989 0)68.87% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.98% (0.0010000000000048 0)9.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.28% (0.00099999999999056 0)30.71%
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 16.27%
    Bayern Munich 65.58%
    Draw 18.14%
FreiburgDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.47%
1-0 @ 3.29%
3-2 @ 2.02%
2-0 @ 1.86%
3-1 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 16.27%
1-1 @ 7.92%
2-2 @ 5.38%
0-0 @ 2.92% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 18.14%
1-2 @ 9.53%
0-2 @ 8.45%
1-3 @ 7.64%
0-1 @ 7.02%
0-3 @ 6.77%
1-4 @ 4.6%
2-3 @ 4.31%
0-4 @ 4.07%
2-4 @ 2.59%
1-5 @ 2.21%
0-5 @ 1.96%
2-5 @ 1.25%
3-4 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 65.58%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bayern 1-2 Freiburg
Tuesday, April 4 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, April 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Freiburg
Sunday, March 19 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 0-2 Juventus
Thursday, March 16 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 Hoffenheim
Sunday, March 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Freiburg
Thursday, March 9 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Bayern 1-2 Freiburg
Tuesday, April 4 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Bayern 4-2 Dortmund
Saturday, April 1 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Bayern
Sunday, March 19 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 5-3 Augsburg
Saturday, March 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 2-0 PSG
Wednesday, March 8 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Stuttgart 1-2 Bayern
Saturday, March 4 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34218592385471
2Borussia DortmundDortmund34225783443971
3RB Leipzig34206864412366
4Union BerlinUnion Berlin34188851381362
5Freiburg3417895144759
6Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34148125749850
7Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt341311105852650
8Wolfsburg341310115748949
9Mainz 05Mainz341210125455-146
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach341110135255-343
11FC Koln341012124954-542
12Hoffenheim34106184857-936
13Werder Bremen34106185164-1336
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum34105194072-3235
15Augsburg3497184263-2134
16Stuttgart34712154557-1233
RSchalke 04Schalke34710173571-3631
RHertha Berlin3478194269-2729
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